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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
SportsAwardsSoccer

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Ends Oct 31, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:28:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Harry Kane $4.26M Vol.
57% ▲ 2%
Buy Yes 57.4¢ Buy No 42.7¢
Lamine Yamal $2.43M Vol.
22% ▼ 0.6%
Buy Yes 21.6¢ Buy No 78.5¢
Kylian Mbappé $2.31M Vol.
11% ▼ 1%
Buy Yes 10.5¢ Buy No 89.5¢
Rodri $1.85M Vol.
5%
Buy Yes 4.5¢ Buy No 95.5¢
Lionel Messi $2.67M Vol.
4% ▲ 1%
Buy Yes 4.4¢ Buy No 95.7¢
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia $1.67M Vol.
2% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 2.1¢ Buy No 98.0¢
Ousmane Dembélé $2.42M Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.9¢ Buy No 99.2¢
Fabian Ruiz $1.29M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.5¢ Buy No 99.5¢
Michael Olise $1.86M Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.4¢ Buy No 99.7¢
Erling Haaland $1.90M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Pau Cubarsi $1.08M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Jude Bellingham $1.35M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Vinícius Júnior $1.07M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Declan Rice $910.7K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Vitinha $853.1K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Achraf Hakimi $741.2K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Bruno Fernandes $711.2K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Lautaro Martinez $492.0K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Luis Diaz $440.7K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Oct 31, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Ballon d'Or Winner 2026?
The current leading outcome is Harry Kane at approximately 57.4%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Oct 31, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

Related prediction markets

⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.