Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?
CryptoPre-MarketFDV

Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028 12:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:44:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

$500M $40.6K Vol.
59% ▲ 0.5%
$1B $9.5K Vol.
48% ▲ 1%
$2B $273.1K Vol.
46% ▲ 3%
$3B $464 Vol.
38%
$4B $80.2K Vol.
36%
$6B $130.5K Vol.
31%
$5B $7.8K Vol.
30% ▼ 2%
$8B $76.4K Vol.
20% ▼ 3%
$10B $61.5K Vol.
16% ▼ 0.5%
$12B $97.1K Vol.
14%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2028 12:00
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Base FDV above ___ one day after launch??
The current leading outcome is $2B at approximately 45.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2028 12:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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