Berlin State Election Winner
SportsGlobal ElectionsBerlin

Berlin State Election Winner

Ends Sep 20, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:40:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Linke
Linke $379.9K Vol.
62% ▼ 4%
CDU
CDU $366.7K Vol.
32% ▲ 5%
AfD
AfD $2.52M Vol.
6% ▼ 1%
Grüne
Grüne $223.1K Vol.
2% ▲ 0.4%
SPD
SPD $440.4K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.2%
BSW
BSW $48.5K Vol.
<1%
FDP
FDP $21.0K Vol.
<1%
FW
FW $15.2K Vol.
<1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Sep 20, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Berlin State Election Winner?
The current leading outcome is AfD at approximately 6.3%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Sep 20, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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