California Governor Election Winner
SportsCalifornia GovernorGovernor midterms

California Governor Election Winner

Ends Nov 3, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:29:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra $1.93M Vol.
96% ▲ 0.6%
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton $2.75M Vol.
4% ▼ 0.2%
Tom Steyer
Tom Steyer $4.79M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Alex Padilla
Alex Padilla $2.00M Vol.
<1%
Chad Bianco
Chad Bianco $1.95M Vol.
<1%
Kyle Langford
Kyle Langford $1.83M Vol.
<1%
Rick Caruso
Rick Caruso $1.80M Vol.
<1%
Nicole Shanahan
Nicole Shanahan $1.78M Vol.
<1%
Katie Porter
Katie Porter $1.77M Vol.
<1%
Betty Yee
Betty Yee $1.75M Vol.
<1%
Antonio Villaraigosa
Antonio Villaraigosa $1.62M Vol.
<1%
Stephen Cloobeck
Stephen Cloobeck $1.57M Vol.
<1%
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris $1.57M Vol.
<1%
Toni Atkins
Toni Atkins $1.56M Vol.
<1%
Michael Younger
Michael Younger $1.55M Vol.
<1%
Eric Swalwell
Eric Swalwell $1.50M Vol.
<1%
Eleni Kounalakis
Eleni Kounalakis $1.43M Vol.
<1%
Tony Thurmond
Tony Thurmond $1.43M Vol.
<1%
Daniel Mercuri
Daniel Mercuri $1.40M Vol.
<1%
Matt Mahan
Matt Mahan $1.37M Vol.
<1%
Butch Ware
Butch Ware $1.31M Vol.
<1%
Elaine Culotti
Elaine Culotti $1.26M Vol.
<1%
Leo Zacky
Leo Zacky $1.09M Vol.
<1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Nov 3, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for California Governor Election Winner?
The current leading outcome is Tom Steyer at approximately 0.1%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Nov 3, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.