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Trump out as President by September 30?
Politicsdonald trumpTrump

Trump out as President by September 30?

Ends Oct 1, 2026 10:59Last updated 2026-09-17 20:12:27
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

30 $1.00M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.7¢ Buy No 99.4¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Oct 1, 2026 10:59
Display type
binary
Source rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count. A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Trump out as President by September 30??
The current leading outcome is 30 at approximately 0.7%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Oct 1, 2026 10:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.