Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
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Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?

Ends Sep 22, 2026 23:00Last updated 2026-09-17 20:14:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

180-199 $14.2K Vol.
26% ▲ 3%
160-179 $9.6K Vol.
20% ▲ 5%
200-219 $8.9K Vol.
19% ▼ 2%
140-159 $11.1K Vol.
13% ▲ 5%
220-239 $8.3K Vol.
11% ▼ 5%
240-259 $6.4K Vol.
6% ▼ 5%
120-139 $44.4K Vol.
4% ▲ 2%
260-279 $14.4K Vol.
2% ▼ 4%
280-299 $22.0K Vol.
<1% ▼ 1%
100-119 $34.1K Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.3%
300-319 $15.5K Vol.
<1% ▼ 1.0%
320-339 $12.2K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.2%
360-379 $30.5K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.5%
340-359 $29.9K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.4%
380-399 $24.4K Vol.
<1%
420-439 $19.4K Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.1%
500+ $46.3K Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.1%
400-419 $21.4K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
80-99 $43.8K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
440-459 $14.8K Vol.
<1%
60-79 $14.3K Vol.
<1%
40-59 $12.5K Vol.
<1%
460-479 $10.0K Vol.
<1%
480-499 $9.6K Vol.
<1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Sep 22, 2026 23:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 15 12:00 PM ET to September 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026??
The current leading outcome is 500+ at approximately 0.1%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Sep 22, 2026 23:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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