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How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
OtherRewards 50, 4.5, 100 DeprecSpace

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:49:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

140-159 $50.3K Vol.
78% ▲ 3%
Buy Yes 78.0¢ Buy No 22.0¢
160-179 $100.4K Vol.
10% ▼ 2%
Buy Yes 10.0¢ Buy No 90.0¢
120-139 $5.1K Vol.
7%
Buy Yes 7.4¢ Buy No 92.7¢
200 or more $107.1K Vol.
2% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 2.1¢ Buy No 97.9¢
180-199 $61.2K Vol.
1% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 1.0¢ Buy No 99.0¢
100-119 $3.6K Vol.
1%
Buy Yes 1.0¢ Buy No 99.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for How many SpaceX launches in 2026??
The current leading outcome is 200 or more at approximately 2.1%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.