Politics
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)13.5%
Iran Reconstruction Funding13.5%
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium11.5%
+3 more outcomes
PoliticsGeopoliticsNegotiation Topics
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
July 31
$193.3K Vol.
No ×
August 31
$60.1K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 11:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...??
The current leading outcome is July 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
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