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Iceland EU referendum passes?
OtherIceland EU ReferendumEuropean Union

Iceland EU referendum passes?

Ends Aug 30, 2026 10:59Last updated 2026-09-17 20:04:28
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? $266.1K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 0.4¢ Buy No 99.7¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Aug 30, 2026 10:59
Display type
binary
Source rules
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date. The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Iceland EU referendum passes??
The current leading outcome is Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? at approximately 0.4%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Aug 30, 2026 10:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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