Iowa Senate Election Winner
SportsKey Senate RacesAshley Hinson

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ends Nov 3, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:29:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Ashley Hinson (R)
Ashley Hinson (R) $179.3K Vol.
61% ▲ 3%
Josh Turek (D)
Josh Turek (D) $179.1K Vol.
40% ▼ 1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Nov 3, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Iowa Senate Election Winner?
The current leading outcome is Ashley Hinson (R) at approximately 60.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Nov 3, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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