Politics
Fed Decision in October?
No change53.5%
25 bps increase46.5%
25 bps decrease0.7%
+2 more outcomes
PoliticsTrump CabinetTrump
Kash Patel out by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
April 30
$532.3K Vol.
No ×
June 30
$509.8K Vol.
No ×
May 31
$188.2K Vol.
No ×
July 31
$63.9K Vol.
No ×
March 31
$42.6K Vol.
No ×
August 31
$4.9K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 11:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Kash Patel out by...??
The current leading outcome is April 30 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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