Other
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
December 31, 202636.5%
September 30, 20260.7%
July 31, 20260.0%
+5 more outcomes
OtherresignWorld
Macron out by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
December 31, 2025
$1.39M Vol.
No ×
June 30, 2026
$476.2K Vol.
No ×
October 31, 2025
$205.6K Vol.
No ×
July 31, 2026
$60.8K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 11:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Macron out by...??
The current leading outcome is December 31, 2025 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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