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Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
OtherMeaslesPandemics

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:39:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

↑3.5k $15.6K Vol.
99% ▲ 0.1%
Buy Yes 99.3¢ Buy No 0.8¢
↑4k $241.2K Vol.
97% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 96.7¢ Buy No 3.3¢
↑4.5k $3.6K Vol.
87%
Buy Yes 87.0¢ Buy No 13.0¢
↑4.75k $63.8K Vol.
85% ▼ 0.5%
Buy Yes 84.5¢ Buy No 15.5¢
↑5k $242.6K Vol.
69% ▼ 2%
Buy Yes 68.5¢ Buy No 31.5¢
↑7.5k $195.0K Vol.
13% ▼ 2%
Buy Yes 12.5¢ Buy No 87.5¢
↑10k $6.53M Vol.
7% ▲ 0.1%
Buy Yes 7.1¢ Buy No 92.9¢
↑12.5k $356.7K Vol.
2% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 1.7¢ Buy No 98.4¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??
The current leading outcome is ↑10k at approximately 7.2%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.