Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
SportsGlobal ElectionsMecklenburg-Vorpommern

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

Ends Sep 20, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:53:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

AfD
AfD $480.4K Vol.
76% ▼ 3%
SPD
SPD $393.7K Vol.
25% ▲ 2%
FW
FW $116.0K Vol.
<1%
FDP
FDP $77.1K Vol.
<1%
Grüne
Grüne $71.4K Vol.
<1%
CDU
CDU $45.4K Vol.
<1%
Linke
Linke $29.9K Vol.
<1%
BSW
BSW $22.3K Vol.
<1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Sep 20, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner?
The current leading outcome is AfD at approximately 75.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Sep 20, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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