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MLB: Home Runs Leader
SportsHome runsbaseball

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Ends Sep 28, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:58:27
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Kyle Schwarber $44.7K Vol.
71% ▼ 14%
Buy Yes 70.5¢ Buy No 29.5¢
Junior Caminero $5.3K Vol.
4% ▼ 1.0%
Buy Yes 3.8¢ Buy No 96.2¢
Yordan Alvarez $15.0K Vol.
2% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 2.0¢ Buy No 98.0¢
Matt Olson $5.4K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.9¢ Buy No 99.2¢
Ben Rice $3.5K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.3¢ Buy No 99.8¢
Brandon Lowe $471.2K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Munetaka Murakami $10.6K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Mike Trout $1.75M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Juan Soto $649.4K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
CJ Abrams $206.0K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
James Wood $9.5K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Aaron Judge $4.7K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Shohei Ohtani $3.0K Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Nick Kurtz $1.5K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Elly De La Cruz $1.4K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Shea Langeliers $1.3K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Eugenio Suarez $922 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Sal Stewart $827 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Cal Raleigh $772 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Jordan Walker $734 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Giancarlo Stanton $664 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Rafael Devers $659 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Manny Machado $547 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
George Springer $535 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Pete Alonso $476 Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Sep 28, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for MLB: Home Runs Leader?
The current leading outcome is Mike Trout at approximately 0.1%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Sep 28, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.