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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
PoliticsGeopoliticsIran

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:56:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

December 31 $607.6K Vol.
20%
Buy Yes 19.5¢ Buy No 80.5¢
October 31 $15.5K Vol.
8% ▼ 1%
Buy Yes 7.5¢ Buy No 92.5¢
September 30 $411.7K Vol.
3% ▼ 0.4%
Buy Yes 3.1¢ Buy No 97.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...??
The current leading outcome is July 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.