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Next French Presidential Election
PoliticsFrench ElectionGlobal Elections

Next French Presidential Election

Ends Apr 30, 2027 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 18:00:26
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Marine Le Pen
Marine Le Pen $2.50M Vol.
36%
Buy Yes 36.1¢ Buy No 63.9¢
Édouard Philippe
Édouard Philippe $1.67M Vol.
25% ▼ 1%
Buy Yes 24.5¢ Buy No 75.5¢
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Jean-Luc Mélenchon $1.52M Vol.
13%
Buy Yes 12.5¢ Buy No 87.5¢
David Lisnard
David Lisnard $2.29M Vol.
7% ▲ 0.3%
Buy Yes 7.4¢ Buy No 92.6¢
François Hollande
François Hollande $1.89M Vol.
5% ▲ 0.2%
Buy Yes 4.9¢ Buy No 95.2¢
Gabriel Attal
Gabriel Attal $2.31M Vol.
2%
Buy Yes 2.3¢ Buy No 97.8¢
Jordan Bardella
Jordan Bardella $2.17M Vol.
2% ▲ 0.7%
Buy Yes 2.2¢ Buy No 97.9¢
Raphaël Glucksmann
Raphaël Glucksmann $1.80M Vol.
2% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 1.8¢ Buy No 98.2¢
Bruno Retailleau
Bruno Retailleau $2.29M Vol.
2% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 1.6¢ Buy No 98.5¢
Éric Zemmour
Éric Zemmour $2.47M Vol.
1% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 1.2¢ Buy No 98.9¢
Sarah Knafo
Sarah Knafo $2.10M Vol.
1% ▲ 0.2%
Buy Yes 1.1¢ Buy No 98.9¢
Dominique de Villepin
Dominique de Villepin $1.91M Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.1%
Buy Yes 1.0¢ Buy No 99.1¢
Sébastien Lecornu
Sébastien Lecornu $1.73M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 0.8¢ Buy No 99.2¢
Xavier Bertrand
Xavier Bertrand $5.98M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Marine Tondelier
Marine Tondelier $4.19M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
François Ruffin
François Ruffin $3.74M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Jean Castex
Jean Castex $1.73M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Karim Bouamrane
Karim Bouamrane $905.0K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Ségolène Royal
Ségolène Royal $6.38M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Olivier Faure
Olivier Faure $5.87M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Clémence Guetté $4.18M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Juan Branco
Juan Branco $2.26M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 99.9¢
François Baroin
François Baroin $1.14M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Mathilde Panot
Mathilde Panot $6.42M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
François Bayrou
François Bayrou $5.94M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
François Asselineau
François Asselineau $5.76M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Yaël Braun-Pivet
Yaël Braun-Pivet $5.70M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Élisabeth Borne
Élisabeth Borne $5.45M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Michel Barnier
Michel Barnier $5.25M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Clémentine Autain
Clémentine Autain $4.99M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Manuel Bompard
Manuel Bompard $4.83M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Carole Delga
Carole Delga $4.74M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan $4.73M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Fabien Roussel
Fabien Roussel $4.24M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Valérie Pécresse
Valérie Pécresse $4.07M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Laurent Wauquiez
Laurent Wauquiez $3.68M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Bernard Cazeneuve
Bernard Cazeneuve $2.34M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Gérald Darmanin
Gérald Darmanin $2.09M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Yannick Jadot
Yannick Jadot $750.4K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Marion Maréchal
Marion Maréchal $441.5K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Lucie Castets
Lucie Castets $418.3K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Apr 30, 2027 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Next French Presidential Election?
The current leading outcome is Mathilde Panot at approximately 0.1%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Apr 30, 2027 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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