Tech
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 3090.5%
October 3170.5%
September 306.5%
+4 more outcomesTechAIGemini Pro
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
August 31
$347.2K Vol.
No ×
August 14
$246.0K Vol.
No ×
August 7
$148.8K Vol.
No ×
August 21
$127.4K Vol.
No ×
July 31
$92.5K Vol.
No ×
June 30
$57.3K Vol.
No ×
June 26
$19.7K Vol.
No ×
July 30
$18.8K Vol.
No ×
July 17
$18.5K Vol.
No ×
July 24
$18.3K Vol.
No ×
July 10
$18.2K Vol.
No ×
June 12
$16.5K Vol.
No ×
June 19
$13.7K Vol.
No ×
September 15
$12.6K Vol.
No ×
July 3
$3.6K Vol.
No ×
July 29
$3.0K Vol.
No ×
July 28
$2.7K Vol.
No ×
June 5
$2.5K Vol.
No ×
July 27
$1.4K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Nov 1, 2026 10:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...??
The current leading outcome is August 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Nov 1, 2026 10:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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