Next Premier of Quebec
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsQuebec

Next Premier of Quebec

Ends Oct 5, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 20:01:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon $23.5K Vol.
80% ▲ 3%
Christine Fréchette
Christine Fréchette $80.3K Vol.
17% ▼ 2%
Charles Milliard
Charles Milliard $20.8K Vol.
4% ▼ 0.2%
Ruba Ghazal
Ruba Ghazal $38.8K Vol.
<1%
Sol Zanetti
Sol Zanetti $53.3K Vol.
<1%
Bernard Drainville
Bernard Drainville $61.6K Vol.
<1%
Éric Duhaime
Éric Duhaime $49.5K Vol.
<1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Oct 5, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Next Premier of Quebec?
The current leading outcome is Christine Fréchette at approximately 16.7%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Oct 5, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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