Politics
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?
December 313.6%
May 310.0%
March 310.0%
+2 more outcomes
CryptoGeopoliticsHegseth
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Dec 31, 2026 07:00
- Display type
- binary
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31??
The current leading outcome is 31 at approximately 23.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Dec 31, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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