Quebec General Election Winner
SportsGlobal ElectionsCanada

Quebec General Election Winner

Ends Oct 5, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:40:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

PQ
PQ $141.9K Vol.
88% ▲ 4%
CAQ
CAQ $144.9K Vol.
11% ▼ 4%
PLQ
PLQ $140.3K Vol.
2% ▼ 0.8%
PCQ
PCQ $254.5K Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.1%
PVQ
PVQ $157.5K Vol.
<1%
QS
QS $106.5K Vol.
<1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Oct 5, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Quebec General Election Winner?
The current leading outcome is PCQ at approximately 0.3%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Oct 5, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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