Politics
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4733.0%
4815.5%
4913.5%
+8 more outcomes
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsMidterms
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Nov 3, 2026 07:00
- Display type
- exclusive candidates
- Source rules
- This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026. The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat. Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections??
The current leading outcome is 220-224 at approximately 3.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Nov 3, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
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