Politics
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)74.5%
New People (NL)21.7%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)2.3%
+5 more outcomesPoliticsGlobal ElectionsRussia Election
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Sep 20, 2026 07:00
- Display type
- exclusive candidates
- Source rules
- Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
The current leading outcome is Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) at approximately 92.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Sep 20, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
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