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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?
PoliticsGeopoliticsSaudi Arabia

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Ends Oct 1, 2026 10:59Last updated 2026-09-17 20:13:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

October 31 $11.6K Vol.
87%
Buy Yes 86.5¢ Buy No 13.5¢
September 30 $255.8K Vol.
70% ▲ 25%
Buy Yes 69.5¢ Buy No 30.5¢
September 22 $20.6K Vol.
36%
Buy Yes 36.0¢ Buy No 64.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Oct 1, 2026 10:59
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies. Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify. Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...??
The current leading outcome is September 30 at approximately 69.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Oct 1, 2026 10:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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