Contact
Log In / Sign Up

Welcome!

Unlock your personalized experience.
Sign Up
Dark Mode
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
FinanceIndiciesS&P

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 04:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:49:23
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

↓ $7,400 $15 Vol.
74% ▲ 0.5%
Buy Yes 73.5¢ Buy No 26.5¢
↓ $7,000 $1.4K Vol.
56% ▲ 25%
Buy Yes 55.5¢ Buy No 44.5¢
↑ $8,000 $583 Vol.
50%
Buy Yes 50.0¢ Buy No 50.0¢
↓ $7,200 $240 Vol.
46% ▼ 0.5%
Buy Yes 46.0¢ Buy No 54.0¢
↑ $8,200 $23.9K Vol.
26% ▼ 0.5%
Buy Yes 26.0¢ Buy No 74.0¢
↓ $6,200 $58.0K Vol.
17% ▲ 2%
Buy Yes 16.5¢ Buy No 83.5¢
↑ $9,000 $138 Vol.
11% ▼ 8%
Buy Yes 10.5¢ Buy No 89.5¢
↑ $8,600 $31.8K Vol.
10%
Buy Yes 10.0¢ Buy No 90.0¢
↓ $6,000 $4.7K Vol.
10% ▲ 0.5%
Buy Yes 9.5¢ Buy No 90.5¢
↓ $5,800 $44.5K Vol.
7%
Buy Yes 7.0¢ Buy No 93.0¢
↓ $5,200 $64.8K Vol.
6%
Buy Yes 6.0¢ Buy No 94.0¢
↓ $4,500 $62.5K Vol.
5% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 4.8¢ Buy No 95.2¢
↑ $9,300 $10.0K Vol.
4%
Buy Yes 3.8¢ Buy No 96.2¢
↑ $10,000 $446 Vol.
3% ▼ 0.1%
Buy Yes 3.5¢ Buy No 96.6¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 04:00
Display type
multi binary
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December??
The current leading outcome is ↓ $5,200 at approximately 6.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 04:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

Related prediction markets

⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.