Crypto
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
$500B6.2%
CryptoStablecoinsprotocol-risk
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
USR
— Vol.
Yes ✓
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 12:00
- Display type
- multi binary
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Pyth 1-minute candles for USDTb-USD for any 24-hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 27 Oct ’25 15:00 and 31 Dec ’26 23:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e., 0.97999 or lower). A 24-hour period of USDTb below 98 cents that starts on the last day in 2026 will count. The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the USDTb-USD “High” prices currently available at https://tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=PYTH%3AUSDTbUSD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Pyth USDTb-USD. If Pyth stops having the necessary USDTb information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDTb was below 98 cents for 24 hours or more may be used to resolve this market.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Stablecoins depeg before 2027??
The current leading outcome is USDC at approximately 1.2%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 12:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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