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Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PoliticsCharlieKirk

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 23:09:26
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? $435.5K Vol.
26% ▲ 3%
Buy Yes 25.5¢ Buy No 74.5¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Dec 31, 2026 07:00
Display type
binary
Source rules
Tyler Robinson has been charged with Aggravated Murder by The State of Utah for the death of Charlie Kirk. You can read more about that here: https://atty.utahcounty.gov/cms/uploads/TJR_Information_49872215e3.pdf This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tyler Robinson is convicted of any criminal homicide offense in the ongoing STATE OF UTAH v. TYLER JAMES ROBINSON (OTN: 70090584) by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If this specific charge is dropped, or otherwise changed such that it is no longer considered a criminal homicide offense (https://le.utah.gov/xcode/Title76/Chapter5/76-5-S201.html), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If there is a mistrial, this market will stay open until the resolution date (July 31) to consider further retrials. If a homicide conviction has not been rendered by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgment delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide??
The current leading outcome is Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? at approximately 25.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Dec 31, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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