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UK election called by...?
PoliticsUK Labour LeadershipEngland

UK election called by...?

Ends Jul 1, 2027 10:59Last updated 2026-09-18 19:33:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

June 30, 2027 $5.6K Vol.
30% ▲ 0.5%
Buy Yes 30.0¢ Buy No 70.0¢
December 31, 2026 $28.2K Vol.
11%
Buy Yes 11.0¢ Buy No 89.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jul 1, 2027 10:59
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for UK election called by...??
The current leading outcome is March 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jul 1, 2027 10:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.