Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
PoliticsGeopoliticsputin

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:33:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

$2.03K $1.25M Vol.
2%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
binary
Source rules
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Ukraine joins NATO before 2027??
The current leading outcome is $2.03K at approximately 2.4%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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