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U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?
PoliticsGeopoliticsSyria

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:36:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

December 31, 2026 $15.7K Vol.
25% ▼ 1%
Buy Yes 24.5¢ Buy No 75.5¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...??
The current leading outcome is June 30, 2026 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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