Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
CryptoPre-MarketVariational

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028 12:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:41:26
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

$100M $59.5K Vol.
98% ▲ 4%
$200M $61.0K Vol.
98% ▼ 0.2%
$300M $258.7K Vol.
97%
$500M $876.2K Vol.
86% ▼ 0.5%
$800M $372.5K Vol.
76% ▼ 0.5%
$1B $369.6K Vol.
61% ▲ 0.5%
$2B $187.6K Vol.
22% ▼ 0.5%
$3B $102.7K Vol.
14% ▼ 1%
$4B $146.0K Vol.
6% ▼ 0.1%
$5B $84.3K Vol.
4%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2028 12:00
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??
The current leading outcome is $500M at approximately 86.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2028 12:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

Related prediction markets

⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.