Tech
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Anthropic88.0%
Company A50.0%
Company B50.0%
+29 more outcomesTechAIAstra
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Oct 1, 2026 10:59
- Display type
- exclusive candidates
- Source rules
- This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Which company has the best AI model end of September??
The current leading outcome is Anthropic at approximately 97.9%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Oct 1, 2026 10:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
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