Culture
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day93.5%
Avengers: Doomsday4.2%
The Odyssey0.2%
+11 more outcomesCultureMoviesSpider-Man
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
Michael
$601.0K Vol.
No ×
The Odyssey
$229.6K Vol.
No ×
Toy Story 5
$220.0K Vol.
No ×
Wuthering Heights
$122.9K Vol.
No ×
Project Hail Mary
$91.5K Vol.
No ×
Scream 7
$67.6K Vol.
No ×
Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu
$47.2K Vol.
No ×
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$21.7K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 11:59
- Display type
- exclusive candidates
- Source rules
- This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026??
The current leading outcome is Michael at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
Related prediction markets
⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.