Politics
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep59.5%
R Senate, D House30.5%
Republicans Sweep10.5%
+2 more outcomes
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsUS Election
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Nov 7, 2028 07:00
- Display type
- exclusive candidates
- Source rules
- The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election??
The current leading outcome is Republican at approximately 35.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Nov 7, 2028 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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