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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PoliticsGlobal ElectionsGeopolitics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 21:12:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eizenkot $2.00M Vol.
50% ▼ 2%
Buy Yes 50.4¢ Buy No 49.6¢
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu $3.98M Vol.
31% ▲ 1%
Buy Yes 30.5¢ Buy No 69.5¢
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett $3.16M Vol.
9% ▼ 1%
Buy Yes 8.5¢ Buy No 91.5¢
Avigdor Lieberman
Avigdor Lieberman $2.63M Vol.
6%
Buy Yes 5.7¢ Buy No 94.4¢
Ofer Winter
Ofer Winter $279.6K Vol.
1% ▲ 0.5%
Buy Yes 1.4¢ Buy No 98.7¢
Itamar Ben Gvir
Itamar Ben Gvir $1.58M Vol.
<1% ▲ 0.1%
Buy Yes 0.5¢ Buy No 99.5¢
Yossi Cohen
Yossi Cohen $2.67M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.3¢ Buy No 99.8¢
Yair Golan
Yair Golan $2.37M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.3¢ Buy No 99.8¢
Yoaz Hendel
Yoaz Hendel $1.65M Vol.
<1% ▼ 0.2%
Buy Yes 0.3¢ Buy No 99.8¢
Amir Ohana
Amir Ohana $2.56M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.2¢ Buy No 99.9¢
Gideon Sa’ar
Gideon Sa’ar $2.29M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Benny Gantz
Benny Gantz $2.25M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Moshe Feiglin
Moshe Feiglin $1.92M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Yariv Levin
Yariv Levin $1.89M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Ayelet Shaked
Ayelet Shaked $1.85M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Yair Lapid
Yair Lapid $1.60M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Nir Barkat
Nir Barkat $1.57M Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Israel Katz
Israel Katz $833.5K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢
Gilad Erdan
Gilad Erdan $720.0K Vol.
<1%
Buy Yes 0.1¢ Buy No 100.0¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Dec 31, 2026 07:00
Display type
exclusive candidates
Source rules
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Prime Minister of Israel after the next election??
The current leading outcome is Benjamin Netanyahu at approximately 30.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Dec 31, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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