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Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
PoliticsGeopoliticsUkraine

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 20:09:24
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Donald Tusk
Donald Tusk $13.6K Vol.
58% ▼ 15%
Buy Yes 58.0¢ Buy No 42.0¢
Friedrich Merz
Friedrich Merz $74.8K Vol.
54% ▲ 14%
Buy Yes 53.5¢ Buy No 46.5¢
Ursula von der Leyen
Ursula von der Leyen $10.1K Vol.
29% ▼ 8%
Buy Yes 29.0¢ Buy No 71.0¢
Mark Rutte
Mark Rutte $9.8K Vol.
28% ▼ 9%
Buy Yes 27.5¢ Buy No 72.5¢
Mark Carney
Mark Carney $11.7K Vol.
24% ▼ 2%
Buy Yes 23.5¢ Buy No 76.5¢
Emmanuel Macron
Emmanuel Macron $7.8K Vol.
17% ▼ 0.5%
Buy Yes 16.5¢ Buy No 83.5¢
António Guterres
António Guterres $9.6K Vol.
13% ▼ 0.5%
Buy Yes 12.5¢ Buy No 87.5¢
JD Vance
JD Vance $146.5K Vol.
11% ▼ 0.3%
Buy Yes 11.5¢ Buy No 88.6¢
Donald Trump
Donald Trump $109.0K Vol.
4%
Buy Yes 4.4¢ Buy No 95.7¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
multi binary
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31??
The current leading outcome is JD Vance at approximately 11.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.