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Will Alberta join the US?
PoliticsGeopoliticsacquire

Will Alberta join the US?

Ends Dec 31, 2026 07:00Last updated 2026-09-17 19:52:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

Will Alberta join the US? $2.19M Vol.
2%
Buy Yes 2.2¢ Buy No 97.9¢

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Dec 31, 2026 07:00
Display type
binary
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Alberta join the US??
The current leading outcome is Will Alberta join the US? at approximately 2.2%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Dec 31, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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