Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
TechKPIsApple

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:41:26
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

18 $252.0K Vol.
100% ▼ 0.2%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
binary
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026??
The current leading outcome is 18 at approximately 99.8%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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