Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
PoliticsGeopoliticsIran

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:55:26
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

December 31 $205 Vol.
9%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an Iranian presidential election is officially held by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve immediately upon the official confirmation that voting in the presidential election has taken place. Any announcement of an election date will not be sufficient for a positive resolution. Allegations, criticisms, or disputes regarding the fairness, legitimacy, or conduct of the election, as well as any protests, annulments, investigations, or other subsequent events occurring after voting has taken place, will not be considered in determining this market’s resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Iran hold a presidential election by...??
The current leading outcome is June 30 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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