Politics
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 31, 20266.6%
December 310.0%
March 31, 20260.0%
+2 more outcomes
PoliticsGeopoliticsworld affairs
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
31
$250.3K Vol.
No ×
June 30, 2026
$190.9K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 11:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Will Israel annex any territory by...??
The current leading outcome is 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
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