Politics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro84.0%
Delcy Rodríguez10.0%
No Head of State1.3%
+13 more outcomes
PoliticsTrump-MachadoVenezuela
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
January 31
$2.57M Vol.
No ×
March 31
$2.01M Vol.
No ×
April 30
$733.4K Vol.
No ×
June 30
$314.5K Vol.
No ×
July 31
$297.7K Vol.
No ×
January 9
$264.5K Vol.
No ×
May 31
$200.2K Vol.
No ×
August 31
$10.7K Vol.
No ×
March 8
— Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 11:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...??
The current leading outcome is January 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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