Politics
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party59.5%
Republican Party40.5%
PoliticsCongressSenate
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
$1.69M Vol.
12%
▼ 2%
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 3, 2027 07:00
- Display type
- binary
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends??
The current leading outcome is Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? at approximately 11.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 3, 2027 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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