Politics
Iran coup attempt by...?
December 319.5%
June 300.0%
PoliticsGeopoliticsshah
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
March 31
$8.55M Vol.
No ×
June 30
$6.62M Vol.
No ×
May 31
$1.81M Vol.
No ×
April 30
$1.64M Vol.
No ×
January 31
$547.3K Vol.
No ×
February 28
$451.4K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jan 1, 2027 11:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...??
The current leading outcome is March 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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