Other
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 202718.5%
December 31, 20265.6%
OtherSCOTUSAlito
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
July 15
$1.56M Vol.
No ×
March 31
$27.0K Vol.
No ×
February 28
$15.1K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Jul 1, 2027 10:59
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...??
The current leading outcome is July 15 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jul 1, 2027 10:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
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