Politics
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?11.5%
PoliticsGov ShutdownCongress
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
PROBABILITY HISTORY
Market odds
Top 5 by volume
Loading market history…
OUTCOMES
Current probabilities
December 31
$456.8K Vol.
No ×
October 31
$59.2K Vol.
No ×
March 31, 2026
$39.0K Vol.
No ×
Market details
- Resolution status
- Open
- Platform
- Polymarket
- Close date
- Mar 31, 2026 07:00
- Display type
- threshold ladder
- Source rules
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Frequently asked questions
What are the current odds for Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...??
The current leading outcome is December 31 at approximately 0.0%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Mar 31, 2026 07:00. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.
Related prediction markets
⚠ Prediction markets involve substantial risk and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. Odds can change rapidly. This page is informational only; this website does not execute trades or hold user funds.