Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
PoliticsGeopoliticsDenmark

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 11:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:47:25
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

$2.03K $1.44M Vol.
3% ▼ 0.1%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 11:59
Display type
binary
Source rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the land territory of Greenland refers to all territory recognized by Denmark as part of the autonomous territory of Greenland within the Kingdom of Denmark, as of market creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026??
The current leading outcome is $2.03K at approximately 3.1%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 11:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
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