Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
PoliticsGeopoliticsTrump

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

Ends Jan 1, 2027 06:59Last updated 2026-09-17 19:53:26
PROBABILITY HISTORY

Market odds

Top 5 by volume
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OUTCOMES

Current probabilities

December 31 $893.2K Vol.
96% ▲ 2%
October 31 $107.3K Vol.
96% ▲ 0.8%
September 30 $279.5K Vol.
95% ▲ 0.4%
September 24 $58.5K Vol.
95% ▲ 2%
September 23 $54.6K Vol.
90% ▲ 5%

Market details

Resolution status
Open
Platform
Polymarket
Close date
Jan 1, 2027 06:59
Display type
threshold ladder
Source rules
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Xi Jinping visit US by...??
The current leading outcome is December 31 at approximately 96.5%. Probabilities can change as the market updates.
When does this prediction market close?
The currently recorded end time is Jan 1, 2027 06:59. Always check the official Polymarket page for the latest market status.
Where can I trade this market?
This website provides prediction-market data and research only. Use the Polymarket button on this page to view the original market.

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